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Brewers Vs Cardinals: MLB Betting Odds & Trends – 9/5/2021

Corbin Burnes tries for his 10th victory of the campaign when the Milwaukee Brewers (83-54) host the St. Louis Cardinals (69-65) at 2:10 PM ET on Sunday. Milwaukee’s (-240 to win) Burnes and St. Louis’ (+195) Jon Lester will start this matchup.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of September 4, 2021, 10:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Brewers vs Cardinals Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Burnes (MIL) Pitcher Lester (STL)
9 – 4 W/L 5 – 6
139.0 IP 107.0
2.27 ERA 5.05
0.940 WHIP 1.540
12.2 K/9 5.7
1.7 BB/9 3.2

Brewers Probable Starter Corbin Burnes

  • Burnes (9-4) is looking for his 10th win when he gets the starting nod for the Brewers in his 24th start of the season. He has a 2.27 ERA in 139 innings pitched, with 189 strikeouts.
  • In his most recent appearance on Tuesday, the right-hander tossed six innings against the Giants, allowing one earned run while surrendering four hits.
  • The opposing Cardinals offense has a collective .239 batting average, and is 23rd in the league with 1060 total hits and 24th in MLB action with 559 runs scored. They have the 22nd-ranked slugging percentage (.399) and rank 23rd in home runs (153) in all of MLB.
  • The Brewers have a 15-7 record in Burnes’ 22 starts this season when they were favored on the moneyline.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of September 4, 2021 at 10:08 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Cardinals Stats vs Burnes

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Paul Goldschmidt 15 .467 7 1 2 .500 1.233
Paul DeJong 13 .308 4 1 4 .357 .972
Matt Carpenter 13 .308 4 2 2 .400 1.246
Tommy Edman 11 .364 4 0 0 .500 1.045
Tyler O’Neill 9 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Yadier Molina 9 .111 1 0 0 .111 .222
Nolan Arenado 9 .222 2 0 1 .300 .522
Dylan Carlson 7 .143 1 1 2 .143 .714
Harrison Bader 7 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Lars Nootbaar 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Cardinals Probable Starter Jon Lester

  • The Cardinals will send Lester (5-6) to the mound for his 23rd start this season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Monday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed one hit in 6 1/3 innings against the Reds.
  • The Brewers rank 10th in MLB with 629 runs scored this season. They have a .235 batting average this campaign with 163 home runs (15th in the league).
  • His team is 3-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline underdog.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of September 4, 2021 at 10:08 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Brewers Stats vs Lester (since 2007)

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Lorenzo Cain 38 .368 14 0 2 .415 .915
Christian Yelich 27 .370 10 0 0 .393 .800
Avisaíl García 21 .286 6 0 1 .375 .661
Eduardo Escobar 13 .231 3 0 0 .231 .539
Pablo Reyes 10 .500 5 0 2 .545 1.445
Luis Urías 8 .625 5 0 1 .667 1.542
Willy Adames 5 .200 1 0 1 .200 .600
Jace Peterson 4 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Daniel Vogelbach 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Jackie Bradley Jr. 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Brewers Betting Trends

  • The Brewers average 4.3 runs per game at home compared to 4.9 per contest on the road.
  • The Brewers are the 10th-highest scoring team in MLB play averaging 4.6 runs per game (629 total).
  • The Brewers have won 61.3% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (65-41).
  • When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -240 or shorter, Milwaukee has a 9-1 record (winning 90% of its games).
  • Milwaukee has played in 137 games with set over/under, and has combined with opponents to go over the total 60 times (60-67-10).
  • Milwaukee went 4-3 over the seven games it was moneyline favorites in its last 10 matchups.

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Cardinals Betting Trends

  • The Cardinals rank 24th in the league with 559 total runs scored this season.
  • In 69 road games this season, they’ve scored 4.5 runs per contest compared to the 3.8 per game they average at home.
  • The Cardinals have won 25, or 41%, of the 61 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • St. Louis has played as an underdog of +195 or more once this season and lost that game.
  • Games involving St. Louis have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 60 of 134 chances this season.
  • In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as the underdog by oddsmakers, St. Louis has a record of 3-2.

Brewers Players to Watch

  • Willy Adames is hitting .197 with six doubles, a triple, five home runs and 10 walks.
  • Avisail Garcia has hit 24 home runs with 77 runs batted in. Both lead his team.
  • Garcia falls outside the MLB leaders in hits and batting average among qualified hitters in baseball.

Brewers Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Luis Urías 417 .252 67 19 62 .334 .785
Avisaíl García 412 .267 61 24 77 .330 .813
Eduardo Escobar 370 .246 50 22 65 .298 .776
Jackie Bradley Jr. 347 .173 36 6 29 .249 .529
Omar Narváez 325 .286 51 11 45 .365 .805
Willy Adames 323 .294 52 17 51 .374 .903
Christian Yelich 317 .252 60 8 41 .365 .750
Lorenzo Cain 200 .245 34 7 29 .321 .711
Jace Peterson 197 .269 32 5 30 .389 .795
Daniel Vogelbach 176 .216 23 7 16 .317 .698

Cardinals Players to Watch

  • Paul Goldschmidt has been key for St. Louis with 24 home runs, 83 RBI and a batting average of .285 this season.
  • Goldschmidt’s 145 hits rank 10th, and his 83 RBI rank 18th among qualified hitters in MLB.
  • Nolan Arenado leads St. Louis in home runs with 29 and runs batted in with 88.
  • Arenado ranks eighth in SLG (.502), 14th in HR (29), and 11th in RBI (88) among qualified hitters in the majors.
  • Arenado has a batting average of .389 with three homers during his five-game hit streak.

Cardinals Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Tommy Edman 528 .267 76 10 47 .315 .718
Paul Goldschmidt 508 .285 76 24 83 .354 .842
Nolan Arenado 504 .258 65 29 88 .306 .808
Dylan Carlson 456 .259 66 13 48 .341 .755
Tyler O’Neill 377 .271 60 22 52 .341 .845
Yadier Molina 373 .249 36 9 55 .291 .656
Paul DeJong 308 .195 40 16 40 .287 .667
Harrison Bader 270 .248 29 11 35 .298 .717
Edmundo Sosa 226 .274 33 5 20 .348 .751
Matt Carpenter 178 .180 17 3 21 .313 .605

Brewers vs Cardinals Player Props

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