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Twins Vs Tigers: MLB Betting Odds & Trends – 7/11/2021

The Minnesota Twins (38-50) have a 3-0 series lead and will attempt for a sweep of the Detroit Tigers (40-50) on Sunday at Target Field. The Twins are favored (-225) against the underdog Tigers (+185) in the matchup, which starts at 2:10 PM ET. Minnesota has Jose Berrios starting, and Detroit will counter with Wily Peralta.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of July 11, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Twins vs Tigers Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Berríos (MIN) Pitcher Peralta (DET)
7 – 3 W/L 2 – 1
101.2 IP 21.0
3.36 ERA 2.14
1.100 WHIP 0.860
9.4 K/9 6.0
2.4 BB/9 2.1

Twins Probable Starter José Berríos

  • Berrios gets the start for the Twins, his 18th of the season. He is 7-3 with a 3.36 ERA and 106 strikeouts over 101 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Wednesday against the White Sox, the right-hander threw seven innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering one hit.
  • The opposing Tigers offense has a collective .235 batting average, and is 20th in the league with 694 total hits and 22nd in MLB action with 369 runs scored. They have the 23rd-ranked slugging percentage (.386) and rank 21st in home runs (98) in all of MLB.
  • The Twins have been favored on the moneyline in 11 of Berrios’ starts this season, and they went 7-4 in those games.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 11, 2021 at 2:20 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Tigers Stats vs Berríos

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Nomar Mazara 17 .176 3 1 1 .222 .693
Jonathan Schoop 15 .133 2 1 1 .133 .466
Miguel Cabrera 13 .231 3 0 0 .412 .643
Niko Goodrum 8 .375 3 1 2 .545 1.545
Jeimer Candelario 8 .125 1 0 0 .300 .425
Robbie Grossman 7 .714 5 1 1 .750 2.036
Jake Rogers 5 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Harold Castro 5 .800 4 0 0 .800 1.800
Willi Castro 2 .000 0 0 0 .333 .333

Tigers Probable Starter Wily Peralta

  • The Tigers’ Peralta (2-1) will make his fifth start of the season.
  • The right-hander allowed three hits in seven scoreless innings pitched against the Rangers on Tuesday.
  • The Twins have scored 409 runs this season, which ranks 12th in MLB. They are batting .244 for the campaign with 126 home runs, third in the league.
  • His team is 3-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline underdog.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 11, 2021 at 2:20 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Twins Stats vs Peralta

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Andrelton Simmons 10 .200 2 0 1 .200 .400
Nelson Cruz 7 .143 1 0 1 .300 .586
Jorge Polanco 5 .200 1 0 0 .200 .600
Miguel Sanó 4 .250 1 0 1 .250 .500
Max Kepler 3 .000 0 0 0 .250 .250
Luis Arraez 1 1.000 1 0 0 1.000 2.000

Twins Betting Trends

  • The Twins score an average of 4.6 runs per home game and 4.7 per contest away from Target Field.
  • The Twins rank 12th in runs scored with 409, 4.6 per game.
  • The Twins have won 49.1% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (26-27).
  • Minnesota has played as a moneyline favorite of -225 or shorter in just two games this season, which they won both.
  • In the 87 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Minnesota, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 53 times (53-31-3).
  • Minnesota played as the moneyline favorite in four of its last 10 games, and won all of them.

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Tigers Betting Trends

  • The Tigers rank 22nd in the league with 369 total runs scored this season.
  • In 47 road games this season, they’ve scored 4.3 runs per contest compared to the 3.9 per game they average at home.
  • This season, the Tigers have won 35 out of the 79 games, or 44.3%, in which they’ve been the underdog.
  • Detroit has a record of 5-9 in games where bookmakers have them as underogs of at least +185 on the moneyline.
  • So far this season, Detroit and its opponents have hit the over in 41 of their 89 games with a total.
  • Detroit has played as the underdog in nine of its past 10 games and won four of those contests.

Twins Players to Watch

  • Nelson Cruz leads the Twins in home runs (18), runs batted in (46) and has a team-best batting average of .304.
  • Cruz ranks 24th in HR (18), and 12th in AVG (.304) among the qualifying hitters in MLB action.
  • Jorge Polanco is hitting .248 with 18 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 28 walks.
  • Among qualifying hitters in MLB, Polanco is not in the top 10 in hits and RBI.

Twins Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jorge Polanco 307 .248 48 11 38 .315 .735
Nelson Cruz 270 .304 38 18 46 .367 .919
Andrelton Simmons 230 .230 29 3 18 .300 .609
Miguel Sanó 230 .196 31 15 35 .279 .705
Josh Donaldson 225 .249 37 13 34 .345 .825
Luis Arraez 221 .294 36 1 23 .359 .739
Alex Kirilloff 195 .262 22 8 32 .303 .754
Max Kepler 194 .216 30 9 33 .303 .746
Trevor Larnach 177 .254 24 7 21 .348 .772
Ryan Jeffers 116 .190 12 6 16 .282 .670

Tigers Players to Watch

  • Jonathan Schoop is batting .272 this season with a team-high 16 home runs and 50 RBI.
  • Schoop’s 91 hits rank 24th among qualified hitters in MLB.
  • Robbie Grossman is batting .229 with an OBP of .354 and a slugging percentage of .399 this season.
  • Among qualified hitters, Grossman falls outside the MLB leaders in hits and batting average in the league.
  • Grossman enters this game on a five-game hit streak. He’s hitting .357 over that span with two homers.

Tigers Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jonathan Schoop 334 .272 45 16 50 .317 .781
Robbie Grossman 306 .229 44 12 42 .354 .753
Jeimer Candelario 301 .266 37 5 24 .348 .730
Willi Castro 250 .212 33 6 28 .274 .610
Miguel Cabrera 248 .246 28 7 32 .305 .660
Akil Baddoo 205 .268 28 5 25 .348 .797
Niko Goodrum 205 .215 28 6 18 .291 .628
Nomar Mazara 165 .212 12 3 19 .276 .597
Harold Castro 157 .280 15 1 19 .331 .649
Eric Haase 155 .245 25 13 27 .295 .843

Twins vs Tigers Player Props

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